I was in a conversation the other day with my brother and my brother in-law about why the mariners suck. Of course the cop-out answer is always “lack of offensive production” and while that may be the case we are not off the charts in terrible hitters. We have some solid production guys and OBP (on-base percentage) hitters.
Griffey is currently the main guy in the 5th spot
I think most of us would agree that we just need to string some hits together, quit leaving guys out there at the end of innings and get some runs in.
There are a couple of ways to fix this without hurting what Dr. Z is trying to accomplish with his “defense first” team.
If you read my previous article about the problem at DH then you will see that the DH is one potential problem and if done right we could add a bat without worrying about losing our defensive mindset.
The second problem in a series of problems, in my mind is the 5th spot in the lineup. The 5th spot is a crucial spot because that is your RBI spot. This is where you hit guys in most often.
If small ball baseball works the way its supposed to work, and the mariners team is set up to operate in exactly this way; one of the first two guys gets on base. The third or fourth guy gets them into scoring position and then the 5th guy comes up and hopefully drives them in.
Who else is tired of seeing Ichiro stranded here?
To put the mariners into this scenario we see; Ichiro gets on first, Chone Figgins walks, let’s say our third guy gets out and our fourth guy hits into a fielders choice leaving Ichiro at 3rd and our fourth guy at first. This is when the 5th guy steps up to the plate with 2 outs and is needed to drive in at least one run.
Another case in point of this 5th guy scenario is the Cliff Lee game against the Texas Rangers on April 30th. It was the bottom of the 11th and Ichiro singles. Figgins reaches on a bunt: runners at 1st and 2nd. Franklin Gutierrez strikes out, and then Jose Lopez walks. Now it is the bases loaded and only one out. Eric Byrnes happens to be our 5th guy in this spot because he pitch ran for Ken Griffey Jr. in the 10th. The Bases our loaded and there is ONLY ONE OUT! Sacrifice fly, base hit, squeeze bunt, almost anything works to bring in Ichiro for the win. Byrnes blows it on a squeeze bunt attempt and then goes on to strikeout.
And you can work out a bunch of other scenarios in your head, but the point is the 5th spot is important and is always batting after your high OBP guys.
I went through the stats of the different spots in the lineup, not the person that bats there, but the actual spot and the production coming out of it.
At this point in the season, if I asked you what is our least productive spot, you might say maybe the 8th or the 9th spot (the usual spot in the lineup with low production). Others of you are smart and realize since I am writing about the 5th spot it must be the fifth spot. BINGO!
The fifth spot is not just one person, it has been: Ken Griffey Jr., Jose Lopez, Mike Sweeney, Milton Bradley, and Casey Kotchman. Casey Kotchman is the only one that has found success there thus far and he has only been in that spot a couple of times.
The 5th spot is batting .222 with only 6 RBIs, 0 homeruns, 2 doubles, and well over 20 strikeouts.
If this doesn’t shock you yet, the 3rd spot has almost 20 RBIs and the 4th spot has almost 10. The 9th spot has 8 and the 6th spot has 9.
The spot in the lineup that is leaving the majority of the runners on base is the 5th spot.
Its an important spot, that is why Nelson Cruz is the 5th spot for the Rangers, Kendry Morales is it for the Angels, Carlos Pena is it for the Rays, Jason Werth for the Phillies, Robinson Cano for the Yankees, and so on.
Casey Kotchman has provided the most production from the 5th spot
If you like me are getting frustrated at these findings you might be wondering, “well then who can be our 5th spot hitter?”
As of right now, almost anyone on our team could fill that spot other than the two that have filled that spot the most; Griffey and Sweeney.
The most obvious seems to be Casey Kotchman, its not like they have found a home for him in the lineup yet and he has produced the best out of all of the hitters that have filled that spot.
I think mainly the mariners need to take action and go get a guy that can not only be our DH but maybe even our 4 or 5 hole guy.
In Jackie Z we trust. Make it happen Dr. Z!